Will Solana’s recovery be delayed? What’s making investors concerned

  • Solana’s revenue failed to pick up despite low congestion on the network
  • Volatility around SOL decreased, indicating that a breakout was not close.

The Solana [SOL] blockchain took a hit on the 23rd of June, as its revenue hit its lowest point in the last seven days. As of this writing, the project’s revenue was $626,900.

The value was an indication of Solana’s economic value. The decrease in revenue to one Solana upgrade that took place some days back.

On the 10th of June, AMBCrypto reported how the project asked validators to upgrade to a new node.

The idea behind the development was to solve the congestion issues that the blockchain has been experiencing for some time.

As a result, fees were no more unusually high, and Solana seemed to have maintained its high throughput of 2,000 to 3,000 Transactions Per Seconds (TPS).

Solana revenue fallsSolana revenue falls

Source: Artemis

Success is not final for Solana

Evidence of this reflected in the number of successful transactions. According to Dune, the number of vote transactions was 206.94 million. On the other hand, non-vote transactions were 37.57 million.

A non-vote transaction occurs when market participants transfer SOL between Solana accounts or smart contracts. A vote transaction is one submitted by validators on the blockchain.

Therefore, the increase implied that most transactions pulled through compared to the period when about 75% of non-vote transactions failed.

Solana transactions and SOL price predictionSolana transactions and SOL price prediction

Source: Dune

Furthermore, this development could affect SOL’s price prediction. At press time, the price of the token was $133.71. While SOL attempted to jump to $140 on the 22nd of June, bears disrupted the effort.

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However, it could be challenging for the token to hit a higher price in the short term. This was because of the annualized volatility.

SOL to continue sideways movement

Volatility shows how quickly prices can move. If the volatility level is high, it means the price can jump to an extremely high level within a short period.

However, low volatility implies otherwise. For Solana, the 200-day annualized volatility was 77.80%. In the last 90 days, the 66.30%.

But at press time, it had dropped to 39.60%, Dune data showed. The decrease in this metric implies that SOL might keep swinging within a tight range in the coming days.

Solana volatility affects SOL price predictionSolana volatility affects SOL price prediction

Source: Dune

Should this condition remain the same, the value of the cryptocurrency might move between $130 and $140.

In addition, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) displayed a bearish momentum.  The RSI uses speed and size of price changes to show the momentum of a cryptocurrency.

Readings above 70 indicate an asset is overbought, while those below 30 indicate that it is oversold. At press time, the RSI on the SOL/USD chart was down to 45.00.

Read Solana’s [SOL] Price Prediction 2024-2025

The downtrend of the indicator revealed that the momentum was bearish.

Solana price predictionSolana price prediction

Source: Santiment

Thus, SOL’s price prediction could be one that moves downward in the short term.  However, invalidation might take place if prices in the wider market begin to increase.

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